A new poll shows an incumbent Democrat trailing to a candidate who may not even run against her…
As the 2018 midterms approach, no Democrats are more vulnerable than those running in states where Trump won by double digits.
Nowhere is this issue more apparent than in Missouri, where Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) is up for reelection next year. A new poll, released by the Club For Growth, found the Democrat’s favorability underwater among Missouri voters.
The poll, conducted by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates, finds McCaskill’s favorability at 43 percent, with 46 percent seeing her unfavorably. Among independents, that slips to 39 percent favorable and 49 percent unfavorable. In a memo, the pollsters note this is “quite a precarious position for an incumbent facing reelection.” Asked if they would prefer McCaskill or a new senator, 54 percent of likely voters say a new person, while 38 percent prefer reelecting McCaskill.
But interestingly, the pollster asked Missouri voters about a head-to-head matchup with the state’s Republican attorney general, Josh Hawley, and McCaskill. The incumbent Democrat trailed Hawley by 4 points:
When she’s placed head-to-head with Hawley, McCaskill trails 46 percent to 42 percent, with 12 percent undecided. Among voters who have heard of both candidates, Hawley leads 53 percent to 36 percent. And the undecided voters lean Republican: They favor a GOP candidate by 9 points on the generic ballot and they view McCaskill unfavorably by a 2-to-1 margin.
The results echo a poll conducted by the firm MO Scouts, which found McCaskill underwater with voters by a 40-45 margin. That poll found Hawley leading McCaskill 50-44.
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