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The First 2020 Primary Poll Is Out

Well before voters go to the polls in 2016, Politico released the first 2020 primary polls. A surprise name tops the GOP list, and a familiar one tops the Dem list.

2020 primary

CNN captured the mood of the 2016 election in a Friday morning feature on Missouri voters: “misery.”

Because of – or, perhaps, in spite of – the public’s displeasure with their options in the 2016 presidential election, some are already thinking about 2020.

Politico/Morning Consult became perhaps the first major outlet to release a 2020 primary poll, early Friday morning.

The results are a bit surprising, with two men who have never before run for president on the top of GOP voters’ minds:

Gov. Mike Pence (R-IN), Trump’s running mate: 22%

Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI), Romney’s running mate: 13%

Donald Trump, 2016 GOP nominee: 13%

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), 2nd in 2016 GOP primary: 12%

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), 3rd in 2016 GOP primary: 11%

Gov. John Kasich (R-OH), 4th in 2016 GOP primary: 7%

Other: 4%

Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR), also listed, gets one percent; however, 17% of GOP voters “don’t know” or don’t have an opinion on Trump’s successor.

How about the Democrats? If Hillary Clinton does not win, Democratic voters are settled (for now) on her successor:

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 28%

Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA), Clinton’s running mate: 16%

Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ): 9%

Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-NY): 8%

Other: 8%

The poll indicates, though, that a Clinton successor is not at the top of Democrats’ minds: a plurality, 32%, say they “don’t know” or don’t have an opinion yet on 2020.