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The One Stat in GA-06 That Should Have Democrats Concerned

Jon Ossoff is leading his closest GA-06 competitors, 43-12, in a new poll, but one statistic should concern Democrats…

Jon Ossoff

Former congressional staffer Jon Ossoff, a Democrat, is leading in the field in a new poll of Georgia Sixth Congressional District voters. The special election to replace HHS Secretary Tom Price is being held on April 18.

The 30-year-old Ossoff leads the field with 43 percent, according to Meeting Street Research’s poll, followed by former Secretary of State Karen Handel and former state Sen. Dan Moody, each with 12 percent.

And while most outlets are focusing on Ossoff’s commanding lead, one important statistic should be cause for concern:

While Ossoff’s lead is big, there is dangerous data in the Meeting Street poll. When asked to name their second choice in the race, only 1 percent chose Ossoff, which would indicate his support has a ceiling below the majority needed to win.

More than a dozen candidates are currently in the race, and if none hit 50 percent in the primary, the top two candidates will automatically be entered into a run-off election in June.

The statistic above indicates Ossoff has a ceiling of support in the Republican-leaning district, which isn’t surprising. The question will be if Republicans are willing to coalesce around a GOP alternative to Ossoff in the run-off.