2020: If Past is Prologue, Expect Candidates to Announce in Next Few Months 2020: If Past is Prologue, Expect Candidates to Announce in Next Few Months – NTK Network

2020: If Past is Prologue, Expect Candidates to Announce in Next Few Months

December through February could bring a spate of 2020 presidential campaign announcements, if history is any indicator.

By NTK Staff | 11.16.2018 @11:30am
2020: If Past is Prologue, Expect Candidates to Announce in Next Few Months

On Friday, NBC News reported that Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) spent part of his Wednesday interviewing potential campaign managers for a “likely” presidential bid in 2020. Given Booker is one of the top-tier names considering a run, NBC‘s report may jolt some of Booker’s competitors into action over the next several weeks and months.

Some readers may be wondering: when will the 2020 Democratic presidential candidates start to jump into the race? The field could be crowded, and early entries from some top candidates could convince others to join the field before they lose too much momentum.

If past is prologue, Democrats could start taking their first formal steps towards a presidential run as soon as this winter. The larger the field, the sooner candidates may jump in.

Consider:

  • Former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL) first announced he was “exploring a presidential bid” in December 2014, just weeks after the midterm elections that saw Republicans retake the Senate and hold the House. Bush was branded “a clear establishment favorite” by The Washington Post, and indeed wowed political observers with the early fundraising numbers out of his super PAC.
  • Then-Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) jumped into the 2008 presidential race in January 2007, just around 10 weeks after the 2006 midterms that swept Democrats into power in the House. Then-Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) joined Clinton in the race just a few weeks later, on February 11, 2007.
  • Eventual 2012 GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney was a bit later to the game than Bush, Clinton, and Obama, announcing an exploratory committee in April 2011. Still, Romney was considered a top-tier candidate in 2012 and made his first moves to join the field no later than the spring.

The logical takeaway for 2020 could be those top candidates will start jumping in this winter and this spring. Who takes the leap, though, and how many join the fray, remains to be seen.

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