Immigration Debate Next Week: 3 Big Steps to Getting a Deal Done Immigration Debate Next Week: 3 Big Steps to Getting a Deal Done – NTK Network

Immigration Debate Next Week: 3 Big Steps to Getting a Deal Done

Mitch McConnell kept a promise on Friday, 'teeing up' a debate in the Senate next week over immigration. Whether a deal makes it through depends on three major steps.

By NTK Staff | 02.09.2018 @1:15pm
Immigration Debate Next Week: 3 Big Steps to Getting a Deal Done

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) officially set in motion a debate on immigration for the U.S. Senate next week, the first step in what will be a long and difficult process to a deal, if one even manages to make it to the White House.

CNN reported:

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell teed up a pivotal immigration debate for consideration next week early Friday morning, keeping a promise as soon as the Senate voted to end a government shutdown.

The move to hold an unpredictable Senate debate next week fulfills the promise McConnell made on the Senate floor to end the last government shutdown in mid-January, when he pledged to hold a neutral debate on the immigration issue that was “fair to all sides.”

Advocates for both so-called Dreamers and for more border security will cheer the opportunity to debate the issue, but three big hurdles to a deal remain.

#1: 60 VOTES

Under the upper chamber’s rules, any immigration deal will need 60 votes to pass the Senate.

There are 51 Republicans, 47 Democrats, and two independents that caucus with Democrats in the current Senate. That means any deal will include both Republican and Democratic votes.

Will a Republican-leaning deal emerge, one that attracts 51 GOP votes and several vulnerable Senate Democrats up for re-election in 2018? Will a Democrat-leaning deal emerge, one that attracts moderate Republicans like Susan Collins and Jeff Flake? Next week’s debate will tell, but anything emerging from the Senate will affect the next chamber.

#2: PARTISANS IN THE HOUSE

Far-left and far-right members of the House will saber-rattle any immigration deal that emerges from the Senate. Some conservatives will object to President Trump’s first ‘pillar,’ providing a pathway to citizenship for people here illegally. Some liberals will object to more border security and changes to legal immigration.

Centrists may come together in the House to support a moderate Senate deal, but that’s less likely than members of the Senate reaching across the aisle.

#3: 1600 PENN

Finally, even if a bipartisan deal does pass the House and the Senate, the president – who was elected in part by developing a hard line on immigration, legal and illegal, will have to make a decision on signing the bill.

Whether Trump will sign something that deviates from his ‘four pillars’ remains an outstanding question.

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