McCaskill Won Her Primary Tuesday Night; She’s Still in Trouble for the General McCaskill Won Her Primary Tuesday Night; She’s Still in Trouble for the General – NTK Network

McCaskill Won Her Primary Tuesday Night; She’s Still in Trouble for the General

With three months until Election Day, a plurality of Missourians disapprove of Claire McCaskill's job performance, and a majority say it's time for a new representative in the U.S. Senate.

By NTK Staff | 08.08.2018 @9:00am
McCaskill Won Her Primary Tuesday Night; She’s Still in Trouble for the General

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) easily won the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Missouri on Tuesday night, sidelining a number of uninspiring and unserious competitors.

McCaskill was able to celebrate a victory on Tuesday, but she faces much longer odds in her next election.

She’ll take on Attorney General Josh Hawley (R-MO) in the general election, but monthly and quarterly numbers from Morning Consult suggest a majority of Missourians want to see a new U.S. senator come 2019.

  • January 2018: 50 percent of Missourians say it’s “Time for [a] New Person” in office, 31 percent say reelect McCaskill (+19 for “Time for New Person)
  • February 2018: 51 percent of Missourians say it’s “Time for [a] New Person” in office, 31 percent say reelect McCaskill (+20 for “Time for New Person)
  • March 2018: 53 percent of Missourians say it’s “Time for [a] New Person” in office, 30 percent say reelect McCaskill (+23 for “Time for New Person)
  • April 2018: 53 percent of Missourians say it’s “Time for [a] New Person” in office, 29 percent say reelect McCaskill (+24 for “Time for New Person)
  • May 2018: 52 percent of Missourians say it’s “Time for [a] New Person” in office, 30 percent say reelect McCaskill (+22 for “Time for New Person)
  • June 2018: 51 percent of Missourians say it’s “Time for [a] New Person” in office, 31 percent say reelect McCaskill (+20 for “Time for New Person)

July 2018 brought more bad news for McCaskill: her net approval rating was -4, and her disapproval rating of 44 percent was tied for highest among senators up for reelection in 2018.

These numbers have regularly made one thing clear: McCaskill is the most vulnerable senator up for reelection in 2018. If Hawley runs a good campaign – he has so far – McCaskill will be in serious political trouble come November.

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