New Poll Finds GOP Odds for Keeping House Majority Increasing New Poll Finds GOP Odds for Keeping House Majority Increasing – NTK Network

New Poll Finds GOP Odds for Keeping House Majority Increasing

The Washington Post and ABC News have been tracking voters' choices on the generic congressional ballot, and the latest poll brings good news for the GOP.

By NTK Staff | 04.16.2018 @9:00am
New Poll Finds GOP Odds for Keeping House Majority Increasing

Republican odds of keeping the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives are improving, if a new poll from The Washington Post and ABC News is an indicator.

The two media outlets found that the Democrats’ advantage among registered voters on a generic congressional ballot has shrunk, from 12 points in January to only four points in April.

The poll finds that the gap between support for Democratic vs. Republican House candidates dropped by more than half since the beginning of the year. At the same time, there has been a slight increase in President Trump’s approval rating, although it remains low. Measures of partisan enthusiasm paint a more mixed picture of the electorate in comparison to signs of Democratic intensity displayed in many recent special elections.

…With the Republicans’ House majority at risk, 47 percent of registered voters say they prefer the Democratic candidate in their district, while 43 percent favor the Republican. That four-point margin compares with a 12-point advantage Democrats held in January. Among a broader group of voting-age adults, the Democrats’ margin is 10 points, 50 percent to 40 percent.

The Washington Post noted that gun policy is of chief importance to almost half of voters, but did not appear to specify in their report what side of the gun issue particular voters were on.

Indeed, of the 42 percent of voters who say gun policy is “extremely” important to their vote for Congress, Democrats only have a one-point advantage (47 percent to 46 percent).

As members return to their districts more often this spring and summer, and the GOP more aggressively campaigns on their tax cuts, the generic ballot question will be one to watch throughout 2018.

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