Poll: Generic GOP Leads Generic Dem By 6.3% Average in 7 of 12 Senate Battleground States Poll: Generic GOP Leads Generic Dem By 6.3% Average in 7 of 12 Senate Battleground States – NTK Network

Poll: Generic GOP Leads Generic Dem By 6.3% Average in 7 of 12 Senate Battleground States

A generic Republican leads a generic Democrat in Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia.

By NTK Staff | 05.03.2018 @9:00am
Poll: Generic GOP Leads Generic Dem By 6.3% Average in 7 of 12 Senate Battleground States

In an April 2018 Morning Consult poll shared by Axios on Thursday, a generic Republican is leading a generic Democrat by an average of 6.3 percent in seven of 12 battleground states that will determine control of the U.S. Senate this fall.

Democrats have leads in five of 12 states, but only lead by an average of 2.6 percent.

The results bode well for Senate Republicans’ attempts to keep and even expand their majority. If every state went the way Morning Consult polled last month this November, the GOP would expand its majority from 51-49 to 56-44. (Note: two independents, Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Angus King (I-ME), caucus with the Democratic Party).

Here are the U.S. Senate seats that would remain with (Arizona) or flip (all the others) to Republicans:

  • Arizona: the open seat vacated by Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) would go to a Republican, 40 [percent]-34 [percent]
  • Florida: the Republican (Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL)) beats the Democrat (incumbent Bill Nelson), 38-37
  • Indiana: the Republican beats the Democrat (incumbent Joe Donnelly), 39-34
  • Missouri: the Republican (Attorney General Josh Hawley (R-MO)) beats the Democrat (incumbent Claire McCaskill), 38-33
  • Montana: the Republican beats the Democrat (incumbent Jon Tester), 42-37
  • North Dakota: the Republican (Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-ND)) beats the Democrat (incumbent Heidi Heitkamp), 38-30
  • West Virginia: the Republican beats the Democrat (incumbent Joe Manchin), 43-29

The Democrats, according to Morning Consult, would flip one seat (Nevada, though it’s a two-point contest right now) and retain four.

Perhaps most surprisingly, in Virginia, where popular Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) is up for reelection, the generic Democrat is only holding on to a three-point lead over a generic Republican. Could Kaine be in trouble in 2018? Whether or not that’s the case, it’s clear the Senate map continues to favor Republicans at this point.

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