POLLS: Arizona and Nevada Senate Races Tighter Than Ever | NTK Network POLLS: Arizona and Nevada Senate Races Tighter Than Ever

POLLS: Arizona and Nevada Senate Races Tighter Than Ever

In two states where Democrats hope to gain seats from Republicans, the races are neck-and-neck.

By NTK Staff | 08.01.2018 @2:00pm
POLLS: Arizona and Nevada Senate Races Tighter Than Ever

Two polls released this week show tight and tightening races in both Arizona and Nevada, as the number of days until the November midterms dips to less than 100.

In Nevada, Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) is narrowly holding off Rep. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) by just one percentage point. According to the Suffolk University/Reno Gazette-Journal poll, Heller has support from 41 percent of respondents, while Rosen has support from 40 percent.

In the U.S. Senate race, Republican Dean Heller (41 percent), the incumbent, leads Democratic Congresswoman Jacky Rosen (40 percent) by 1 point, well within the poll’s margin of error. Libertarian Tim Hagan is favored by 2 percent and independents Kamau Bakari and Barry Michaels trail with less than 2 percent. Five percent respond “none of these candidates,” a Nevada ballot option, and 9 percent are undecided.

Meanwhile, in Arizona, Rep. Martha McSally (R-AZ) is leading her primary opponents, former state Sen. Kelli Ward and former Maricopa Sheriff Joe Arpaio, by eight and 20 points respectively.

In the general election, McSally trails Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) by just four points. But there’s good news for McSally – the Democrat’s lead is shrinking:

In a potential general election match-up, McSally still falls short against Sinema. The Democratic congresswoman holds a 4-point lead over McSally, 48 to 44 percent. And Sinema is ahead by double-digit margins when facing Ward and Arpaio in respective match-ups.

There’s some good news for McSally in the general election polling since Sinema was leading by 6 points, 48 to 42 percent, in OHPI’s June poll.

The Arizona and Nevada Senate races have always been Democrats’ best pick-up opportunities in a year in which the map heavily favors Republicans. Expect a lot of money pouring into these races for television and digital ads in the final months leading up to Election Day.

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