Sabato: Charlie Baker Just Moved Into 'Safe Republican' Territory for '18 | NTK Network Sabato: Charlie Baker Just Moved Into ‘Safe Republican’ Territory for ’18

Sabato: Charlie Baker Just Moved Into ‘Safe Republican’ Territory for ’18

One of the nation's leading political analysts changed his projection of the Massachusetts gubernatorial race from "Likely Republican" to "Safe Republican" on Thursday.

By NTK Staff | 05.10.2018 @3:00pm
Sabato: Charlie Baker Just Moved Into ‘Safe Republican’ Territory for ’18

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, one of the leading race-ratings groups in the nation, gave Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA) a bump on Thursday, moving his 2018 reelection effort from “Likely Republican” to “Safe Republican.”

Crystal Ball’s Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley wrote, of Baker’s race:

We’re moving Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA), a GOP moderate who is a good fit for the state, from Likely Republican to Safe Republican. One of Baker’s potential challengers, former Newton Mayor Setti Warren (D), recently dropped out of the race, another indication of the rather hopeless position Democrats are in against Baker, who narrowly won in 2014 but has been very popular in office. We had previously held this race as Likely Republican to allow for the possibility of a giant Democratic wave wiping out Baker, but at this point we don’t even think a national Democratic tsunami would hurt him much.

It’s a pretty extraordinary feat for Baker, in a very blue state that picked Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump and elected Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) in 2012.

But the first-term governor is broadly popular in the state. A Morning Consult survey of Massachusetts voters released in April found a sky-high 71 percent of people in the state approve of Baker’s performance as governor.

That approval rating, and the weakness of Baker’s Democratic challengers, are likely reasons why Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the race to “Safe” territory.

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