The 5 Democrat Primaries That Could Ruin Pelosi’s Speakership Dreams | NTK Network The 5 Democrat Primaries That Could Ruin Pelosi’s Speakership Dreams

The 5 Democrat Primaries That Could Ruin Pelosi’s Speakership Dreams

The next month is full of contentious Democrat primaries. Liberals need their preferred candidates to win in most of them to keep alive their dream of retaking the House majority.

By NTK Staff | 05.11.2018 @2:00pm
The 5 Democrat Primaries That Could Ruin Pelosi’s Speakership Dreams

The rest of May and early June are full of primary contests being held across the country in states like California, Mississippi, Nebraska, and Pennsylvania. Many of these contests will fly under the radar, but a few have outsized importance on which party wins the majority in the House of Representatives in the November midterms.

NBC News focused on five key races that could tip the scales one way or another, depending on which candidate wins the primary. Here’s their analysis:

CA-39 (June 5 primary): In the race to succeed retiring Rep. Ed Royce, R-Calif., the conventional wisdom is that Republican Young Kim is assured of being in the Top 2, but the race for the other slot is a margin of error contest between Dem Gil Cisneros (whom the DCCC prefers), Republican Bob Huff and Dem Andy Thorburn. The DCCC is airing negative TV ads against Huff and another Republican, Shawn Nelson. The Cook Political Report currently lists CA-39 as LEAN D.

CA-48 (June 5 primary): Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, R-Calif., is potentially vulnerable, but Democrats are sweating making the Top 2 after former Orange County GOP Chair Scott Baugh got into the race in a district where Republican primary voters still outnumber Democrats. The top Democrats are Hans Keirstead and Harley Rouda. And the Los Angeles Times reports that the DCCC just named Rouda to its “Red to Blue” program. Cook has CA-48 as TOSS UP.

CA-49 (June 5th primary): This is the race to replace retiring Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., and the top Democrats are Doug Applegate and Sara Jacobs; Dems feel good about Applegate’s chances to make the Top 2, and there’s a chance two Democrats could qualify for the general. The top Republicans are Diane Harkey and Rocky Chavez. Cook has CA-49 as LEAN D.

NE-2 (May 15): In the race to take on Rep. Don Bacon, R-Neb., Democrats have a primary between former Congressman Brad Ashford (who narrowly lost to Bacon in 2016) and Kara Eastman, who’s backed by progressive groups. Dems don’t believe Ashford will have a problem beating Eastman, but it’s a race worth watching. Cook has NE-2 as TOSS UP.

TX-7 (May 22): Earlier this year, the DCCC received plenty of criticism for dropping oppo on one of their own candidates — Laura Moser — because the committee thinks it disqualifies her as a general election candidate against incumbent Rep. John Culberson, R-Texas. Moser still advanced to the run-off against Lizzie Fletcher, but national Democrats have warned they won’t play in this expensive Houston district that Hillary Clinton won in 2016 if Moser is the nominee. The CW, however, is that Fletcher has a slight lead for the runoff. Cook has TX-7 as TOSS UP.

Come early June, political prognosticators will have a much better sense of whether Democrats are able to flip these seats in November.

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