The List of Democrats Who May Not Make the Cut for the July Debates | NTK Network The List of Democrats Who May Not Make the Cut for the July Debates

The List of Democrats Who May Not Make the Cut for the July Debates

20 candidates qualified for the first presidential primary debate in Miami last week. Who might not make the cut for the July debate?

By NTK Staff | 07.03.2019 @3:28pm
The List of Democrats Who May Not Make the Cut for the July Debates

As more and more polls of the 2020 Democratic primary field are released, it’s becoming more difficult to track who’s in and who’s out of the upcoming presidential debate in Detroit, Michigan.

Luckily, the New York Times released a status update on who’s currently in, who’s out, and who’s on the bubble. As a reminder, candidates need donations from at least 65,000 contributors or at least 1 percent support in qualifying polls.

For starters, it appears that 14 candidates have qualified for the July 30 and 31 debates by achieving both of the standards set out by the DNC. Those 14 include:

Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Pete Buttigieg
Julian Castro
Tulsi Gabbard
Kirsten Gillibrand
Kamala Harris
Jay Inslee
Amy Klobuchar
Beto O’Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Marianne Williamson
Andrew Yang

Things get more complicated, however, when analyzing who’s out. According to the Times, a few candidates are in better position than others to make the cut because they’ve achieved one of the two metrics necessary for qualification. Here’s how they explain it:

At the moment, former Representative John Delaney of Maryland, former Gov. John Hickenlooper of Colorado and Representative Tim Ryan of Ohio appear to have an advantage over the other four. Each of them has at some point earned 2 percent support in a qualifying poll, which raises their polling averages. (For the purposes of the tiebreaker, the D.N.C. will average each candidate’s best three polls.)

That then leaves several candidates who are currently not eligible for the July debate. These candidates have not reached the polling or contributor thresholds. They include:

Michael Bennet
Steve Bullock
Bill de Blasio
Wayne Messam
Seth Moulton
Joe Sestak
Eric Swalwell

And keep in mind: the July debate criteria is technically easier to achieve than the third debate, which will be held in September. For those debates, candidates need to have at least 130,000 donors and earn 2 percent support in at least four qualifying polls. Unlike the June and July debates, candidates must meet both standards to appear on stage in September.

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