These Numbers Should Have Every Vulnerable Dem Senator Nervous These Numbers Should Have Every Vulnerable Dem Senator Nervous – NTK Network

These Numbers Should Have Every Vulnerable Dem Senator Nervous

Morning Consult released its quarterly approval ratings for every U.S. senator. Almost every vulnerable Democrat up in 2018 saw their rating drop in 2017.

By NTK Staff | 01.24.2018 @9:00am
These Numbers Should Have Every Vulnerable Dem Senator Nervous

Democrats have a tall order in 2018: defending a number of U.S. Senate seats in states Donald Trump won in 2016. The Democrats’ job just became harder, though, with new approval ratings released by Morning Consult.

The online publication conducts polls on every U.S. senator’s approval rating every quarter, and their fourth-quarter results, released Tuesday, enabled Morning Consult to take a look at the 2017 drop in net approval rating for every vulnerable senator up in 2018.

Consult‘s main finding? Every vulnerable Democratic senator, except for one, saw a drop in net approval rating in 2017:

  • Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) dropped a whopping 18 points in net approval, from January through December
  • Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) dropped 11 points
  • Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) dropped nine points
  • Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) dropped eight points
  • Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) dropped eight points
  • Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) dropped six points
  • Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) dropped six points
  • Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) dropped four points
  • Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) dropped two points

Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) is a special case. Despite serving in true-blue New Jersey, the senior senator’s net approval rating plummeted 20 points in 2017, due to the ongoing corruption trial against him. If Menendez runs for re-election, this could put a U.S. Senate seat in New Jersey in play for Republicans.

Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) was the only vulnerable incumbent to escape without a drop in net approval, but her net approval overall is only +9 headed into a tough re-election campaign.

The results, in all, bode poorly for Democrats’ chance to retake the Senate in 2018, or even keep a favorable 49-51 margin in the upper chamber.

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