Time to Panic? Democrats’ Share of the Florida Electorate is Shrinking Time to Panic? Democrats’ Share of the Florida Electorate is Shrinking – NTK Network

Time to Panic? Democrats’ Share of the Florida Electorate is Shrinking

Registration numbers in the Sunshine State spell trouble for Democrats hoping to keep Florida competitive in the years ahead.

By NTK Staff | 08.13.2018 @11:15am
Time to Panic? Democrats’ Share of the Florida Electorate is Shrinking

The number of Democrats on the voter registration rolls in Florida is shrinking, according to data compiled by the state’s Division of Elections and as reported by the Tampa Bay Times.

The news marks a shift in recent trends, which showed Democrats gaining on Republicans. Democrats still hold a slight advantage in the state’s overall makeup, though.

Among the 13 million Floridians who were registered to vote in time for the primary, 37.2 percent, or 4.8 million, are registered as Democrats, compared to 35.3 percent, or 4.6 million, who are registered Republicans.

In 2012 and 2014, that Democratic advantage was more than twice as large — and Republicans still controlled both state houses.

In raw numbers, Democrats now have 245,301 more voters than Republicans, compared to a margin of 259,321 in the 2016 primary and 327,438 in the 2016 general. In 2014, the Democrats had 455,140 more voters in the primary than Republicans and 455,946 more for the November elections.

The Tampa Bay Times attributes much of the shift to the growth of “No Party Affiliated” (NPA) voters. These are individuals who have chosen to register as a voter of neither major party nor any of the smaller parties, such as the Green or Libertarian parties.

Of course, as the Times points out two key factors to consider: moving to NPA does not necessarily mean former Democrats no longer lean left in their views. And secondly, registration is one thing, but turnout is another. Ultimately, motivating voters to head to the polls will have the greatest impact on the outcome of statewide elections in Florida than registration numbers.

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