Trump Pollster: By October, Biden Will Be in 3rd & Warren Leading Dem Race | NTK Network Trump Pollster: By October, Biden Will Be in 3rd & Warren Leading Dem Race

Trump Pollster: By October, Biden Will Be in 3rd & Warren Leading Dem Race

The prediction comes after a disastrous 24 hours for Biden, who is entangled in a controversy regarding his remarks about noted segregationists.

By NTK Staff | 06.20.2019 @1:41pm
Trump Pollster: By October, Biden Will Be in 3rd & Warren Leading Dem Race

President Trump’s pollster Tony Fabrizio predicted that Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) will swap polling positions with former Vice President Joe Biden by as early as October.

The prediction appeared as a response to a comment from former NRSC Executive Director Ward Baker, who wrote “By October he will be #3 in polls.” That comment came in response to a video of Biden refusing to apologize for his controversial remarks in which he said he established a civil working relationship with Democrat segregationists.

Fabrizio responded to Baker’s tweet and went a step further, predicting that Warren would be leading the Democratic field in October:

For weeks, political observers have noted Warren’s steady rise in national and state polling. At the same time, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) appears to be losing support.

A national Economist/YouGov poll released Thursday showed Biden in the lead with 26 percent, followed by Warren at 16 and Sanders at 12. A Monmouth poll released Wednesday similarly showed Biden at 32, Warren at 15, and Sanders at 14.

At the state level, a Post & Courier poll in South Carolina showed Biden leading with 37 percent, followed by Warren at 17, Pete Buttigieg at 11, and Sanders at 9. Another South Carolina poll conducted by CBS News/YouGov showed Sanders in second and Warren in third, however. And a Monmouth poll in Nevada showed Biden leading with 36 percent, followed by Warren at 19, and Sanders at 13.

While all of these polls are just snapshots in time, what’s notable is the consistent uptick in the number of polls showing Warren working her way into second place.

And while Biden’s latest controversy is prompting some to question whether he can maintain his position atop the Democratic field, it’s notable that other controversies, including sexual misconduct allegations, have not adversely affected his standing so far.

But the question remains, will this latest controversy, perhaps accelerated by the first primary debates next week, be different?

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