U.S. Senate: GOP Overperforms Almost Everywhere, Expands Majority | NTK Network U.S. Senate: GOP Overperforms Almost Everywhere, Expands Majority

U.S. Senate: GOP Overperforms Almost Everywhere, Expands Majority

Though three close races have yet to be called, the GOP will at a minimum control 52 of 100 seats in the U.S. Senate in 2019, up from 51 in 2018.

By NTK Staff | 11.07.2018 @10:30am
U.S. Senate: GOP Overperforms Almost Everywhere, Expands Majority

Senate Republicans not only kept their majority on Tuesday night but expanded on the majority, picking up as little as one seat and as many as four and over-performing across the map.

By Wednesday morning, Republicans had flipped Democrat-held seats in Indiana, Missouri, and North Dakota. As of mid-morning Wednesday, they led by slim margins in Montana, Florida, and Arizona (the former two would be flips for Republicans, while Arizona would be a hold).

Democrats, on the other hand, flipped at least one Senate seat: Nevada, where Rep. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) beat Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV).

RaceDemocrat (* = incumbent)Republican (* = incumbent)Result
MO-Sen.Claire McCaskill*Josh HawleyHawley wins (FLIP to R)
ND-Sen.Heidi Heitkamp*Kevin CramerCramer wins (FLIP to R)
FL-Sen.Bill Nelson*Rick Scott
IN-Sen.Joe Donnelly*Mike BraunBraun wins (FLIP to R)
NV-Sen.Jacky RosenDean Heller*Rosen wins (FLIP to D)
TN-Sen.Phil BredesenMarsha BlackburnBlackburn wins (R HOLD)
AZ-Sen.Kyrsten SinemaMartha McSally
MT-Sen.Jon Tester*Matt RosendaleTester (D HOLD)
WV-Sen.Joe Manchin*Patrick MorriseyManchin wins (D HOLD)
PA-Sen.Bob Casey*Lou BarlettaCasey wins (D HOLD)
WI-Sen.Tammy Baldwin*Leah VukmirBaldwin wins (D HOLD)
MI-Sen.Debbie Stabenow*John JamesStabenow wins (D HOLD)
OH-Sen.Sherrod Brown*Jim RenacciBrown wins (D HOLD)
MS-Sen.Mike EspyCindy Hyde-Smith*Runoff (Hyde-Smith vs. Espy)
MN-Sen.Tina Smith*Karin HousleySmith wins (D HOLD)
TX-Sen.Beto O'RourkeTed Cruz*Cruz wins (R HOLD)
NJ-Sen.Bob Menendez*Bob HuginMenendez wins (D HOLD)

Still, the map was much better for Republicans than some expected going into Election Day.

  • Republican Mike Braun defeated incumbent Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) by a whopping 10 points in Indiana, while Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-ND) defeated incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) by nearly 11 points
  • Attorney General Josh Hawley (R-MO) earned a convincing win over incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), by six points
  • Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) outlasted a challenged from Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX), winning by 2.6 points; Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) trounced ex-Gov. Phil Bredesen (D-TN) in Tennessee (by 10.8 points) for another GOP hold
  • Republicans are currently up in Florida (by 0.4 points), Arizona (by 0.9 points), and Montana (by 0.7 points), as of Wednesday at 10:30am ET

With 52 to 55 seats, Republicans will likely be able to stop any major policy initiative from Democrats in the House. The majority also means Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) will be able to continue confirming judges and Cabinet members appointed by the president.

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